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Tag: Europe

Is Europe divided again?

The East–West divide should not be overstated. Estonia, Romania and Lithuania have generally remained strongly pro-European despite placing considerable emphasis on national independence. Conversely, sovereigntist politicians in Western Europe have achieved considerable political success. Nevertheless, it is primarily in parts of Central and Eastern Europe that states increasingly resemble isolated islands, jealously guarding their borders and defending “go-it-alone” policies in an ever more interconnected and interdependent European environment.

September 11, 2026 - Jan Zielonka

Britain, Russia, and Europe’s awareness problem

Europeans have not concluded that Russia is benign, but that the cost of confronting it is theirs to bear personally through economic pressure while the threat itself remains distant and abstract. This is not a failure of policy design. It is a failure of the domestic political architecture needed to support it.

June 23, 2026 - Callum Fraser

The price of normalizing Russia

A ceasefire will not change the essence of the regime in Moscow. Only time will show if European leaders remain as resolute about not returning to business as usual as they are today. As economic uncertainty deepens globally, pragmatism may increasingly overshadow humanitarian concerns. Yet, if some form of post-war normalization in Europe’s relations with Russia is on the cards – and if international companies begin to lobby for it – it would be fair to insist on certain preconditions.

June 23, 2026 - Nina Rozhanovskaya

It is not the time to talk to Russia

Calls have been growing across European political and expert circles – including within the European Union – for high-level political engagement with Russia. Much of this momentum stems from the recent talks between senior officials from Russia and the United States, including discussions on a possible settlement of the war in Ukraine.

June 23, 2026 - Marek Menkiszak

Europe cannot build a Russia policy on a ceasefire alone

Russia's aggression extends far beyond the war in Ukraine, and Europe must therefore maintain whatever restrictive measures and strategic bottlenecks are necessary to limit Russia's capacity to threaten and destabilize European societies. Europe needs to define and effectively use its leverage vis-à-vis Russia in order to pressure, or persuade, decision makers in Moscow to change their hostile policies and end the country's shadow war.

June 23, 2026 - Stefan Ingvarsson

Europe’s clavo ardiendo non-strategy

The Spanish expression, agarrarse a un clavo ardiendo – literally, “to cling to a burning nail,” something like “clutching at straws” in English – describes the instinct to seize on the thinnest hope in a desperate situation, no matter how implausible or even absurd that hope may be. And this seems to be a recurring European habit when dealing with Russia.

June 23, 2026 - Nicolás de Pedro

Engagement without illusions

The strategic approach that the EU should adopt towards Russia depends, first and foremost, on how the conflict in Ukraine comes to an end. In the case of a simple ceasefire, for example, relations should remain cool and Ukraine’s operational readiness must be ensured.

June 23, 2026 - Tiziano Marino

We must learn to live with war

An interview with Jacek Siewiera, former head of the National Security Bureau in Poland. Interviewer: Aureliusz M. Pędziwol

June 22, 2026 - Aureliusz M. Pędziwol Jacek Siewiera

Towards a new world disorder?

The post–Second World War international order appears to be nearing its end. It is increasingly being replaced by a system that openly presents itself as non-liberal, if not outrightly anti-liberal. Should this emerging (dis)order remain nominally rules-based, its rules will differ fundamentally from those established after 1945. They may simply reflect the shifting whims of powerful leaders rather than stable and broadly accepted norms of conduct.

February 23, 2026 - Andreas Umland

The collapse of the European security order

The sense that Europe is adrift in the emerging world order reflects both external shocks and internal shortcomings. On the one hand, the United States is signalling that Europe is no longer the central theatre of American strategy. On the other, Europeans remain divided on how far they are willing to go in assuming real strategic responsibility, or the so-called European strategic autonomy.

February 23, 2026 - Wojciech Michnik

The last frontier. Europe’s psychological war

Europe now finds itself sandwiched between two autocrats, each working to weaken Europe for his own purposes. Those purposes may not be joint, but they intersect and are clear: they want to activate the Trojan horses of anti-EU, illiberal, political insurgency and thus undermine EU policies and democratic values from within. At stake now is the survival of Europe.

February 23, 2026 - Paul Bell

When war becomes a national idea: Russia’s strategy towards Europe

If Russia is not stopped in Ukraine, it will double down on efforts to destabilize Europe and may again turn to armed aggression. The safest and cheapest option for NATO is to give Ukraine the financial and military support it needs to block Moscow’s imperial ambitions. Meanwhile, the unpunished genocide unfolding in the heart of Europe painfully exposes the weakness and cynicism of Europe’s legal and value-based order.

February 23, 2026 - Maria Domańska

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