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Author: Andreas Umland

What happens to Belarus after Lukashenka falls?

The current Belarusian transformation looks as if it could be having results similar to those of the 2018 Velvet Revolution in Armenia rather than of the 2013-2014 Revolution of Dignity in Ukraine. Yet, the pathological relationship of Moscow’s imperialism towards Russia’s Eastern Slavic “brotherly nations” can mean that Belarus’s future may, in the end, become more similar to Ukraine’s rather than Armenia’s present.

Ukraine and Belarus are two of the culturally and geographically closest nations of Europe. Their Eastern Slavic languages, major Christian-Orthodox churches and peculiar locations between Russia, on the one side, and the European Union (as well as NATO), on the other, are comparable and intertwined. Both are, on one level, very close to the also largely Orthodox and Eastern Slavic Russians.

November 16, 2020 - Andreas Umland

Should Ukraine conduct local elections along the Donbas contact line?

Current military-civil administration in eastern Ukrainian frontline districts need to be kept in place and partially reformed. Should the Donets Basin return to Ukrainian control, they could provide institutional templates for a temporary special regime within the currently occupied territories.

September 9, 2020 - Andreas Umland

The coronavirus crisis as a critical juncture for Ukraine and the world

Deliberations on the political repercussions of the ongoing pandemic for international relations and Ukrainian foreign affairs.

May 4, 2020 - Andreas Umland Pavlo Klimkin

Ukrainian autocephaly and the Moscow Patriarchate

How Russia’s religious hierarchs reject the new Orthodox Church of Ukraine.

August 27, 2019 - Andreas Umland Christine Borovkova

Towards an alliance between Kyiv and Berlin?

Counterintuitive deliberations on a possible future partnership between Ukraine and Germany.

August 16, 2019 - Andreas Umland

Opportunities and risks in Zelenskyy’s new Ukraine

Ukraine’s elections have now delivered a result where all executive and most legislative power rests in the hands of only one party.

August 8, 2019 - Andreas Umland

Voting advice applications in pre-electoral Ukraine

PROвибір and other electronic instruments are helping Ukrainians to distinguish parties according to their political, socio-economic and cultural agendas

July 19, 2019 - Andreas Umland

Complications in Tbilisi’s friendship with Kyiv

The Georgian Orthodox Church and Ukrainian autocephaly.

June 6, 2019 - Andreas Umland Tamar Chapidze

Critical questions for Ukraine’s new president

A list of issues for this year’s reform agenda and Kyiv’s relations with the West.

May 30, 2019 - Andreas Umland

Why a Zelenskiy presidency will not be the end of Ukraine

Zelenskiy’s likely success in Ukraine’s upcoming presidential elections will be an enormous aberration. It will create high risks because of the new president’s lack of experience, yet also provide new opportunities of integration between Ukraine’s state and society.

April 17, 2019 - Andreas Umland

The Yuri Tymoshenko risk

There is a dangerous scenario for the first round of Ukraine’s upcoming presidential elections: political-technological trickery could unsettle social stability in Ukraine. Cynical puppet masters are prepared to risk the outbreak of a major domestic civil conflict for the sake of securing re-election of Ukraine’s incumbent president.

March 27, 2019 - Andreas Umland

Ukraine’s far right unclear prospects in the 2019 elections

Moscow has long exploited Ukraine’s far-right movements as scarecrows, inflating their political importance, in an effort to discredit the Ukrainian nation, as a whole. But in reality, ultra-nationalist parties in post-Soviet Ukraine have struggled to find support for several election cycles now. If the various groups cannot unite, they are likely to fail once again in the 2019 parliamentary elections.

March 22, 2019 - Andreas Umland

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