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Tag: Russia

Scenarios for the future of the Russian Federation

Current thinking on Russia’s future trajectory remains focused on a Moscow-centric approach to future events. Despite this, a broader understanding of the country’s various regions provides essential nuance at a time in which Moscow is facing growing pressures.

October 5, 2026 - Sviat Hnizdovskyi Valerii Pekar

Russia and North Korea open a new route for their wartime partnership

Satellite imagery and Russian procurement records illustrate the scale of new freight infrastructure on the border, as Moscow and Pyongyang deepen military cooperation during the war in Ukraine.

September 25, 2026 - Ana Pisarenco

Turkey’s strategic duality. Building a security architecture beyond NATO

The debate about Turkish foreign policy has long centred on strategic autonomy: Ankara’s effort to widen its freedom of action by reducing dependence on any single outside power. A new agreement with Middle East powers demonstrates just how Turkey is acquiring the ability to organize other states around its own security relationships.

September 21, 2026 - Nikola Lunić

“The war could last for decades”

An interview with Boris Nadezhdin, Russian opposition politician. Interviewer: Vazha Tavberidze, Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty.

September 17, 2026 - Boris Nadezhdin Vazha Tavberidze

Kyiv’s realpolitik in the South Caucasus

Ukraine's ties to autocratic Azerbaijan reveal the uncomfortable limits of a values-centric foreign policy.

September 15, 2026 - Nicholas Castillo

Shifting geopolitical orientations in Central Asia

A pro-Russia orientation has been a stable feature of Central Asia since the region’s independence in 1991. While of crucial importance for Europe, Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in 2022 initially seemed to be a far-away conflict that would not concern Central Asia directly. And yet, Central Asia’s positive relations with Russia soon began to change.

September 11, 2026 - Karolina Kluczewska

How Russia turned terrorism into a tool of power

Counterterrorism narratives in Russia have become a justification for centralizing the Kremlin’s power. Unity, discipline and loyalty became security requirements. The more terrorism was framed as a national survival issue, the easier it became to portray pluralism, criticism, and civil society activism as potential vulnerabilities.

September 11, 2026 - Adam Reichardt

How Russia’s war changed the case for Romania–Moldova reunification

Moldova still lacks a stable majority for union with Romania. However, Russia’s ongoing aggression in Ukraine has made the cost of remaining a vulnerable small state much harder to ignore.

September 11, 2026 - Ana Pisarenco

The Vatican’s unholy circus in Moscow

By speaking of abstract “suffering” and “goodwill”, and avoiding plain language on who invaded whom, the Holy See is effectively giving a papal benediction to the Kremlin's primary talking point: that this is a rather complicated quarrel, not a colonial land-grab. That does nothing to pressure Moscow towards peace, it only reduces its diplomatic isolation and blurs responsibility.

September 11, 2026 - Maryna Tymchenko Nurbek Mukambetov

How one concert united Russian-speaking diasporas and homelands in Istanbul

The Belarusian hip-hop star Max Korzh gave his first concert to Belarus and Russia-based fans in a visa-free country, Turkey, since the start of the full-scale war in Ukraine. It was a cultural summit of those who left with those who stayed, revealing stubbornly potent myths of post-Soviet “unity” and abstract anti-war sentiment.

September 11, 2026 - Alexander Neuman

Narva memoir

The Cold War had its own places where the worlds on either side of the Iron Curtain came into direct contact. Over time, some acquired an iconic status. Today’s “Cold War 2.0” will also one day pass into history. It will be remembered through places such as the Narva river.

September 11, 2026 - Nikodem Szczygłowski

Nobody’s drone

Romania finds itself operating in a sea increasingly crowded with expendable unmanned systems from both sides of the war. Those that drift into Romanian waters often do so because something has already gone wrong: navigation has failed, communications have been lost, electronic warfare has disrupted control, or the original mission has ended without rendering the weapon harmless. With an unmarked drone, the physical threat may be obvious while responsibility remains contested. That ambiguity and the time it takes to resolve can be politically useful.

September 10, 2026 - Avraham Shmulevich

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