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“In these difficult times the EU and Armenia stand shoulder to shoulder”

Amidst the consequences of three major crises, Armenia is on the path to confronting past failures and shifting its policy westward to overcome its peripheral status. As it grapples with an unstable situation on its borders and coercion from Russia and Azerbaijan, the country’s pursuit of democratic reforms and EU alignment calls for a reconfiguration of the regional alliance system that would secure peace in the South Caucasus.

Armenia is a country in the process of democratic transition that must face the challenges posed by both its aggressive neighbourhood, which hinders regional integration, as well as external and systemic problems that shape the country’s social environment. Armenia is suffering from the consequences of the 2018 revolution, the pandemic and especially the 2020 war – a trifecta of shocks that have shaken the country to its core.

April 11, 2024 - Valentina Gevorgyan - Hot TopicsIssue 3 2024Magazine

Ursula von der Leyen, on the right, and Irakli Garibashvili

It is dealing with multiple social and political challenges today, along with facing continued threats from Azerbaijan and Russia’s pressure to give up its sovereignty. Nonetheless, having steadily improved its democratic institutions in recent years, Armenia stands as a democracy frontrunner in Eastern Europe, along with Moldova and Ukraine. Armenia has been among the top democratizing countries since 2011, even making a transition from electoral autocracy to electoral democracy in 2021.

Since the Second Karabakh War, waged by Azerbaijan in 2020, Armenia has found itself in an unfathomable security dilemma that has also been amplified by Russia, Armenia’s so-called strategic partner. It is not an exaggeration to say that among all the states of the former Soviet Union subject to Russia’s backward colonial policies, Armenia is in the most vulnerable and dangerous position today. At first, such a statement may seem unreasonable, given Russia’s open full-scale war against Ukraine. However, delving deeper into Russia’s covert – yet still evident – coercive and deceptive policies towards Armenia, we may want to think again.

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