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Tag: Russian Federation

Is fighting ethnic activism the new big trend for Russia’s authorities?

The war in Ukraine has encouraged some members of Russia’s minority communities to think about their future under Moscow rule. While most activists calling for outright secession have fled abroad, the country’s repressive authorities are eager to be seen rooting out supposed enemies.

January 31, 2024 - Dor Shabashewitz

To dissolve, or not to dissolve: what makes Russia’s indigenous movements suspicious of re-federalisation proposals?

There has been a great amount of talk recently about the potential “re-federalisation” of Russia. Seen as a safer option compared to a potential collapse, reform has drawn support from people both inside and outside the country. Despite this, such an approach ultimately overlooks the concerns of ethnic minority activists, who fear that re-federalisation would only support the status quo.

October 9, 2023 - Dor Shabashewitz

Astrakhan: Russia’s least Russian oblast at the crossroads of emerging separatisms

Astrakhan Oblast is an ethnically diverse federal subject of Russia located at the crossroads of Eastern Europe, Central Asia and the North Caucasus. The region’s previously marginal pro-independence movements have been gaining popularity since the Russian invasion of Ukraine. What is the probability of intergroup violence in the Lower Volga area and how do members of Russia-wide opposition groups react to this challenge?

September 1, 2023 - Dor Shabashewitz

Russia’s fatal “Zugzwang”

The German word "Zugzwang" comes from the words "Zug", which means “move”, and "Zwang", which means “compulsion”. Russia’s invasion of Ukraine today appears to be wholly influenced by such an irrational "compulsion to move". Much like the chess term, Moscow is now pursuing a move that will only worsen its position and harm itself.

February 24, 2023 - Alex Gordon

Scenarios for the Russian Federation

The unforeseen consequence of the decisions made by Russia's power wielding elites could be the emergence of something entirely new.

December 21, 2022 - Dmytro Zolotukhin Oleg Magaletskyi Sviatoslav Hnizdovskyi Valerii Pekar

What happens after Russia falls

Most western experts predict Ukraine will win the war with Russia. When it does, we should allow the Russian Federation to dissolve.

Western politicians want borders to stay the same. Stability is good for capitalism. That is why Olaf Scholz has stalled arms shipments, sending in the first six months of the war enough weapons to keep Ukraine from losing, but not enough to turn the tide. This is why, even after Russia’s atrocities in Mariupol, Bucha and Borodyanka came to light, and even with proof of the daily shelling of homes, preschools, and hospitals in Kharkiv, Mykolaiv and Odesa, French President Emmanuel Macron sought to help Vladimir Putin save face. Western leaders also cling to the status quo because they fear Putin will nuke Ukraine. This is an intimidation tactic also employed by the Soviet Union. But Putin is not suicidal.

December 7, 2022 - Helen Faller Nick Gluzdov

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