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Tag: geopolitics

Europe at a crossroads: strategic security dependency in the age of uncertainty

The sense of unease caused by US President Donald Trump’s changing policy on Ukraine must result in action across Europe. While NATO member states can still rely on some established frameworks, a new outlook is needed in order to deal with issues concerning an overdependency on Washington.

May 5, 2025 - Tamar Gamkrelidze

Peace, not surrender: under these conditions Ukrainians will return home

According to Ukraine’s ministry of national unity only 30 per cent of those who are abroad have said that they were ready to return home immediately. Another 40 per cent are waiting for the official end of the war and long-term security guarantees. The remaining 30 per cent have now said they would build their lives abroad.

Many Ukrainian refugees who are now spread around the world fear that even after a ceasefire the war could flare up again, putting their families at risk one more time. Diplomatic pressure without guarantees of a just and lasting peace that takes into account Ukraine's interests is perceived as something akin to surrender. Such a peace would not provide what Ukrainians need most: certainty that their lives will not be turned into rubble again.

May 5, 2025 - Halyna Khalymonyk

Overcoming the crisis of hope

An interview with Agnieszka Holland, a Polish film director. Interviewer: Joanna Mosiej, editor in chief of the Sestry magazine

JOANNA MOSIEJ: You once said that your biggest dream is for the world to wake up and for us to have a future. Are we now living in a reality that resembles the Weimar Republic in its final days? Meaning, there is no hope and no return? That history needs to repeat itself?

AGNIESZKA HOLLAND: I am worried that it will be difficult to reverse from this path, unless there is a true will to do so. Of course we know that hope is what dies last, but this hope needs to be a collective, and not individual, experience. At this moment, when I am observing those who decide on our fate, I see that they neither have any ideas, nor will. And there is no courage.

May 5, 2025 - Agnieszka Holland Joanna Mosiej

Armenia’s geopolitical awakening: a democracy caught between empires

Yerevan’s attempts to strengthen its democracy have come at the worst possible time. As the world moves into a period increasingly dominated by dictatorship and disorder, Yerevan must not lose sight of its values as it attempts to forge a path forward.

April 17, 2025 - David Akopyan

The complexity of the peace deal between Armenia and Azerbaijan

A deal between Yerevan and Baku appears within reach after decades of tensions over Nagorno-Karabakh. Despite this, many issues still remain before any document will be signed by the two neighbours. Such uncertainty will naturally have consequences for more than just the South Caucasus.

April 9, 2025 - Nino Lezhava

Ukraine as ground zero for a new European security challenge

Russia’s alliance with other authoritarian regimes has grown to the extent that it is now attempting to challenge the current world order. This is seen most clearly in the battlefields of Ukraine, where technological cooperation has produced new weapons like the Oreshnik missile.

March 27, 2025 - Maryna Venneri

A Zeitenwende comes from Washington: how long-term trends shaped a new politics

America’s newfound reluctance to help its allies has caught Europe off guard. However, this development ultimately has a long history. If Ukraine is to continue its fight against Russian aggression, we must accept such realities and plan accordingly.

March 14, 2025 - Valerii Pekar

The EU in the new geopolitical context: past and future challenges

The European Union has continued to lag behind the changing circumstances of the world order. If this is to change, the bloc will have to take a look at its ability to act in a collective manner. Such necessity asks existential questions of the EU’s position in the world today.

February 21, 2025 - Emilija Tudzarovska

“We rolled out a red carpet for a war of aggression”

Interview with Gabrielius Landsbergis, the former foreign minister of Lithuania. Interviewer: Robert Finch.

February 14, 2025 - Gabrielius Landsbergis Robert Finch

Europe in the age of uncertainty

As long as we have different narratives concerning the real meaning of Russia’s war in Ukraine, the European Union will not be able to act as a coherent and pro-active geopolitical player. The EU should attempt to find a common language to talk about the war and its implications. Only then will we be able to uphold security across the continent, both for ourselves and our partners.

The recent meeting of the UN General Assembly proved to be a focal point for all the uncertainties the world is currently facing: the ineffectiveness of multilateralism; impunity for aggression and violations of international law; and increasing problems related to climate change and sustainable development goals. In short, the international rules-based order as perceived in the West is under threat with major uncertainties as a consequence.

November 22, 2024 - Tony van der Togt

Is there a future for the Eastern Partnership?

While the Eastern Partnership marked its 15th anniversary this year, its adaptability to current geopolitical developments has raised questions. Russia’s war in Ukraine and Ukraine’s and Moldova’s progress in EU accession have challenged the relevance of this policy. Yet, despite some shortcomings, the EaP can be a viable instrument to promote the regional agenda of the EU, invest in democratisation of individual countries and foster linkages with the key region of Eastern Europe. There are concrete steps that can increase the relevance of this policy.

Launched in 2009 in Prague, the European Union’s Eastern Partnership (EaP) policy has been one of the most visible and efficient tools of EU foreign policy over the past decade and a half. On the occasion of its 15-year-anniversary, which we celebrated in May 2024, a proper stock-taking of the current state of play is in order. This is particularly important since the EaP is undergoing some fundamental changes, being challenged particularly by the ongoing Russian war against Ukraine as well as by the Kremlin’s aggression against its other neighbours, of which six are united within the regional policy framework of the EU.

November 22, 2024 - Pavel Havlíček

Economic frontlines: bracing for a possible Trump return

November could see former US President Donald Trump return to the White House. His rather unpredictable approach to foreign policy could subsequently leave an even greater impact on the world than it did in his first term. This is due to various new conflicts like Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, with both Kyiv and Moscow preparing for Trump’s potential victory.

Over the last month, Democratic nominee Kamala Harris has upended the presidential race in the United States by opening a small lead over Donald Trump in national polls. However, historical experience suggests early leads are often overturned and the upcoming presidential debates may prove decisive. With Trump still very much in the race, policymakers in Russia and Ukraine are bracing for what could be a seismic shift in US foreign policy.

September 17, 2024 - Cassia Scott-Jones

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