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Author: Mark Temnycky

The 2025 Belarusian presidential elections

The upcoming presidential election in Belarus will help give an indication as to the strength of Lukashenka’s grip on the country. While it is clear who will come out on top in the rigged vote, a level of dissent could once again be expressed by an opposition brought to life by the last race five years ago.

January 17, 2025 - Mark Temnycky

Is Ukraine’s energy infrastructure ready for the upcoming winter?

This winter naturally poses a raft of challenges for Ukraine as it continues its fight against Moscow’s invasion. Indeed, conditions during the previous two winters only exacerbated issues on the front line. Despite this, problems related to infrastructure may make the coming months especially difficult for Kyiv.

December 5, 2024 - Mark Temnycky

Russia turns to Belarus as Ukrainian offensive prevails

Moscow has increasingly pressured Minsk for help in its war against Ukraine. Belarus’s recent military exercises on its southern border have been met with continued fears over the country’s independence. It is clear that at the moment Minsk has no good options when it comes to Russia’s war in Ukraine.

October 9, 2024 - Mark Temnycky

Thirty years of Lukashenka

This year marks the thirty-year anniversary of Alyaksandr Lukashenka’s rule. While the Belarusian leader has been able to consolidate his power in the country, recent responses to crackdowns on the opposition suggest an uncertain future for the dictator.

August 28, 2024 - Mark Temnycky

Expect Russia to meddle in Georgia’s parliamentary election

The ruling party in Georgia has continued to pursue policies that threaten both the country’s democracy and westward orientation. This will become a key issue during the upcoming elections, with citizens faced with a choice that will involve more than just rival political parties.

August 2, 2024 - Mark Temnycky

Georgians want a better future

Last year, Georgia’s government proposed a controversial “foreign agents” law similar to that in Russia. While protests forced the authorities to back down at the time, a renewed attempt has resulted in more demonstrations demanding a European future for the country.

May 15, 2024 - Mark Temnycky

Georgian citizens prepare for 2024

It looks likely that Georgia will make a choice between East or West next year. While the government continues to favour stronger links with Russia, the Georgian people still show great support for European integration. The upcoming parliamentary elections will therefore prove pivotal.

December 20, 2023 - Mark Temnycky

Georgian Dream’s shenanigans continue

The past year has seen the Georgian Dream administration engage in a variety of questionable actions. Ranging from laws on “foreign agents” to spreading conspiracy theories, it appears that these moves are designed to question the country’s pro-western orientation. Georgia’s citizens must now use the ballot box to challenge this record of mismanagement.

November 17, 2023 - Mark Temnycky

Azerbaijan tightens blockade as Armenia calls for assistance

The situation in Nagorno-Karabakh still remains uncertain three years after the 2020 war. While Azerbaijan has enforced a blockade of the disputed territory, Armenia increasingly fears a renewed conflict. The international community must now act to bring both sides back to the negotiating table.

August 30, 2023 - Mark Temnycky

Uncertainty lies ahead for Georgia

Georgia’s government is once again moving further away from European norms. While the majority of the population desires closer links with the West, Tbilisi continues to only think of itself. This divide could have consequences for next year’s parliamentary elections.

June 5, 2023 - Mark Temnycky

The Russo-Belarusian Union State is here

Belarus continues to play a low-level yet crucial part in the ongoing war in Ukraine. While the Russian military sends troops to the country, it is also firing missiles at Ukraine from Belarusian territory. It is increasingly clear that the very independence of the country is now under threat. 

April 27, 2023 - Mark Temnycky

Georgian reforms delay as EU pressure mounts

Georgia’s ruling party hesitates to implement crucial reforms while the country’s citizens and EU impatience grows.

December 16, 2022 - Mark Temnycky

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