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Author: Daniel Gleichgewicht

Scenarios of war as of March 1st

Five scenarios as to how Russia’s war in Ukraine might develop from here.

March 2, 2022 - Andrii Dligach Mychailo Wynnyckyj Valerii Pekar

The Kremlin’s war on Ukraine

The large scale invasion of independent Ukraine in the early hours of Thursday, February 24th 2022 will forever be a turning point in European history. New Eastern Europe is providing a number of resources and background texts below which can be helpful in understanding how we got to this point.

February 24, 2022 - New Eastern Europe

A response to Leonid Ragozin’s “Putin no longer fears a democratic Ukraine”

Debate continues over whether or not Putin is specifically worried about Ukraine’s ongoing attempts at reform. Whilst democracy in the country is flawed, the situation on the ground is by no means as bad as suggested by certain writers.

February 23, 2022 - Luke Smith

Information battlefield: Kremlin disinformation campaigns targeting Poland’s support for Ukraine

Other than assembling a large force on the border with Ukraine, the Kremlin is increasing the information pressure on Europe. Poland has long been a traditional target of Russian fake news. The current amount and intensity point to an organised operation of malicious influence.

February 22, 2022 - Maria Avdeeva

Could Transnistria become the next victim of Russian aggression?

Ongoing tensions over Ukraine have the potential to greatly impact other flashpoints in the region. This is most clear with regards to pro-Russian Transnistria, which lies less than 100 kilometres from Odesa.

February 21, 2022 - Katarzyna Rybarczyk

Russia is investing a lot of money in its cybernetic systems and agency networks

Ukraine has found itself on the frontline of Russia’s growing cyber strategy over the past decade. Other states in the region must now learn from Kyiv’s experiences in order to develop an effective response to such actions.

February 18, 2022 - Artem Oliinyk Mykola Volkivskyi Yuri Vanetik

Armenian support for Russian “peacekeeping” in Eurasia and Syria

Armenia’s support for the recent CSTO intervention in Kazakhstan may seem unusual at first glance. However, this move is ultimately part of a wider strategy in Yerevan that involves both domestic and international affairs.

February 16, 2022 - Taras Kuzio

The harmful effects of the panic over Ukraine

Ukraine’s current authorities face perhaps the most stressful week in office since 2019, when they came to power. There is no doubt that Russia’s possible full-scale invasion of Ukraine would be the most substantial military operation in Europe since 1945.

February 15, 2022 - Vladyslav Faraponov

Only Putin is to blame for a second Ukraine invasion

There are many western voices echoing Russian claims NATO's eastwards expansion is to blame for the current tensions. However, neither Russia's first incursion into Ukraine, nor the current pressure applied can be attributed to anyone other than the Kremlin.

February 14, 2022 - Mark Temnycky

Towards a new Bulgaria or a new deception?

Bulgaria has remained one of the worst performing EU states when it comes to issues of corruption. However, recent political changes suggest that the country may be entering a make or break period regarding its justice system.

February 11, 2022 - Blaga Thavard

Hungarian government embraces Russian cooperation in spite of possible war in Ukraine

In light of growing uncertainties over Ukraine, many Central and Eastern European states are now asking for further military and political support from their western allies. Despite this, Viktor Orbán recently visited Moscow to express his “respect” for Vladimir Putin and discuss cooperation in the energy and health care sectors.

February 9, 2022 - Soso Chachanidze

Russia: stable dictatorship – but for how long?

The ongoing consolidation of Putin's dictatorship has been accompanied by a deepening, though still passive, public dissatisfaction with the political system and the ageing leader. Demands for change are subsequently on the rise. These attitudes may accelerate the erosion of a seemingly stable model of rule.

February 8, 2022 - Maria Domańska

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