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NATO during the second Trump administration: Actions speak louder than words

Many recent assessments of US foreign policy suggest that the second presidential term of Donald Trump is having a disruptive and potentially destructive impact on transatlantic relations. This is particularly the case regarding NATO’s future and the American commitment to European security. However, fears that the administration will renege on the US commitment to European security and NATO are simply misplaced.

September 26, 2025 - Luca Ratti - AnalysisIssue 5 2025Magazine

Regardless of the political colour of the administration in the White House, the preservation of a secure and prosperous Europe remains an enduring American interest. Photo courtesy of the White House

Regardless of the political colour of the administration in the White House, the preservation of a secure and prosperous Europe remains an enduring American interest. In the future, there will be three critical theatres for the United States: Europe, the Middle East and the Indo-Pacific. All these theatres are deeply interconnected and even more so than they were during the Cold War, as was acknowledged in NATO’s last strategic concept adopted in Madrid in 2022. Although in recent years global competition from China and deepening tensions with Russia – especially over Ukraine – have raised concerns about Washington’s ability to uphold its commitments in both the North Atlantic and the Indo-Pacific, the interconnectedness between Europe, the Indo-Pacific, and the Middle East remains clear. This interdependence will ensure that the transatlantic partnership continues to thrive, though perhaps in a more transactional form.

 Old and new warnings about NATO’s impending crisis

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