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Why the Black Sea is vital to Ukraine

Ukraine’s successes in the Black Sea are among the most unexpected developments in the current war waged by Russia in the country since 2022. Russia aimed to defeat Ukraine not only through military means but also by crippling its economy. This scenario did not materialize. On the contrary, Ukraine’s military, economic and logistical gains in the Black Sea and Danube waterways secured critical export revenues for Kyiv, allowing the Ukrainian state to function.

On February 24th 2022, Russia attacked Ukraine not only from land and air, but also from the sea. The Russian fleet occupied the entire Azov Sea and almost all of the Ukrainian Black Sea basin. At first, the Russians captured the strategically important Snake Island located near the coast of Romania. For several months they also occupied Kherson and its seaport, as well as attempted a landing at Odesa. They blocked Ukrainian ports to strangle the economy, drive the state budget into bankruptcy and cause social unrest. The Kremlin hoped that the lack of export revenues would in the end lead to Kyiv’s capitulation.

July 8, 2025 - Jakub Łoginow - AnalysisIssue 4 2025Magazine

Illustration by Andrzej Zaręba

Prior to 2022, the Ukrainian economy was heavily dependent on exports, particularly of grains, food products, raw materials such as iron ore, and heavy industrial goods including metallurgical and metal products. This strong export orientation was largely due to a relatively small domestic market. The incomes of Ukrainian households, especially outside Kyiv, were among the lowest in Europe, resulting in limited domestic consumption. However, starting in the early 2000s the Ukrainian economy began to steadily grow and became more innovative. High-quality food products, such as beverages, sweets, and fruit and vegetable preserves from Ukraine started to show up on European markets. Ukraine also became an exporter of modern boats, ships and industrial equipment. Despite this diversification, the bulk of Ukrainian exports in 2021 still consisted of raw materials and low-processed goods. Their transport by road was economically unviable. They were shipped primarily through sea routes and the Danube waterway, as well as by rail.

Danube operation 

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